Smart Thermostat Market Outlook:
Smart Thermostat Market size was over USD 5.45 billion in 2025 and is poised to exceed USD 30.78 billion by 2035, witnessing over 18.9% CAGR during the forecast period i.e., between 2026-2035. In the year 2026, the industry size of smart thermostat is estimated at USD 6.38 billion.
The popularity of smart thermostats has increased owing to the rising trend of HVAC controls across the globe. The HVAC industry generated a revenue of USD 17 Billion in 2022 and is poised to grow and reach USD 30 Billion by 2028.
A smart thermostat is an advanced product that monitors the temperature of space inside a building or a home and maintains a constant temperature. These devices are very much beneficial in heating up and cooling down the temperature as per the requirement while maintaining energy-saving measures. The demand for advanced solutions for a leisure lifestyle and enhanced comfort is also growing. This factor is anticipated to promote the need for smart thermostats in the upcoming years.
Key Smart Thermostat Market Insights Summary:
Regional Highlights:
- The Asia Pacific smart thermostat market is projected to capture a 35% share by 2035, driven by burgeoning population demanding efficient and eco-friendly climate control solutions, supported by stringent regulations in India, China, and Japan.
- The North America market is expected to secure a 28% share by 2035, fueled by rapid urbanization, industrialization, growing disposable income, and advancements in home automation systems.
Segment Insights:
- The wireless connectivity segment in the smart thermostat market is projected to command a 58% share by 2035, driven by connection of smart thermostats and devices improving energy and cost savings.
- The climate control application segment in the smart thermostat market is expected to achieve a 42% share by 2026-2035, attributed to rising preference for leisure lifestyle and increasing spending capacity.
Key Growth Trends:
- Rising Trend of Smart Homes
- Increase Use of Smart Devices
Major Challenges:
- High Initial Investment and Installation Costs
- Lack of Technology Awareness
Key Players: Google Nest (Google LLC), Ecobee, Inc., Honeywell International Inc., Emerson Electric Co., Tado GmbH, Ingersoll Rand, Nortek (NTK Holdings, Inc.), Schneider Electric SE, Carrier Global Corporation, Control4 Corporation (Snap One, LLC).
Global Smart Thermostat Market Forecast and Regional Outlook:
Market Size & Growth Projections:
- 2025 Market Size: USD 5.45 billion
- 2026 Market Size: USD 6.38 billion
- Projected Market Size: USD 30.78 billion by 2035
- Growth Forecasts: 18.9% CAGR (2026-2035)
Key Regional Dynamics:
- Largest Region: Asia Pacific (35% Share by 2035)
- Fastest Growing Region: Asia Pacific
- Dominating Countries: United States, China, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom
- Emerging Countries: China, India, Japan, South Korea, Thailand
Last updated on : 11 September, 2025
Smart Thermostat Market Growth Drivers and Challenges:
Growth Drivers
- Rising Trend of Smart Homes – The utilization rate of smart thermostats is attributed to an increase owing to the rising number of smart homes across the world. Rising living standards and smart homes have significantly increased the demand for automatic heating and cooling systems for devices and room temperature. By the end of 2022, the count of smart homes worldwide surpassed around 308 million and is projected to increase by nearly 670 million smart homes throughout the world by 2025.
- Increase Use of Smart Devices – With the growing spending capacity, people have been adopting smart home devices and building automation systems. This factor is anticipated to accelerate the demand for smart thermostats and further boost the market value in the coming years. In 2022, almost 57 million households living in the United States were using smart home devices. This number is subsequently forecasted to reach almost 65 million households by the end of 2025.
- Drastic Global Climate Change – Rapid industrialization has led to massive carbon emissions which have resulted in the problem of climate change within the past few decades. Therefore, with the rising temperature and unpredictability of the weather residential, thermostats are expected to become a utility and help in the expansion of the smart thermostat market size during the projected timeframe. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated that the temperature of ocean and land has increased at an average rate of 0.14 degrees Fahrenheit per decade since 1880.
- Emergence of the Latest IoT-enabled Thermostats – IoT-integrated, as well as Wi-Fi-enabled smart thermostats, are gaining popularity owing to their ability to automatically modify temperature after observing, monitoring, and studying the user settings and preferences. Thus, this trend is poised to bring favorable opportunities for market growth shortly.
Challenges
- High Initial Investment and Installation Costs – Hefty amounts of money are required to develop advanced smart thermostats. Also, skilled professionals are required for the installation of smart thermostats. These factors couple up to increase the overall cost of smart thermostats which makes it difficult for populations with middle and small income to adopt smart thermostats and subsequently hamper the market growth in the longer run.
- Lack of Technology Awareness
- Increased Maintenance Costs for Upgradation of Existing Systems
Smart Thermostat Market Size and Forecast:
| Report Attribute | Details |
|---|---|
|
Base Year |
2025 |
|
Forecast Period |
2026-2035 |
|
CAGR |
18.9% |
|
Base Year Market Size (2025) |
USD 5.45 billion |
|
Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
USD 30.78 billion |
|
Regional Scope |
|
Smart Thermostat Market Segmentation:
Connectivity Segment Analysis
The wireless segment is estimated to hold over 58% share of the global smart thermostat market by 2035. The main reason for the segment development is the connection of smart thermostats and devices which improves the performance of energy and cost saving. Moreover, wireless smart thermostat enables the controlling and monitoring of systems through IoT devices which makes them easy to use.
Application Segment Analysis
The rising adoption of climate control devices in the residential sector is attributed to the dominance of the climate control segment over others with a market value of 42%. The main reason for the segment growth is the rising preference for a leisure lifestyle and the growing spending capacity of the global population for such smart devices to control the temperature and climate of a space. Furthermore, the extreme weather conditions, the residents upgrade their residential infrastructure in terms of enhanced heating and cooling systems such as air conditioners, furnaces, storage water heaters, and others. In the United States, the total shipments of gas-warm air furnaces reached approximately 379,295 units in December 2020. Whereas, the worldwide demand for room air conditioners grossed nearly 96.5 million units in 2021.
Our in-depth analysis of the global market includes the following segments:
|
Type |
|
|
Connectivity |
|
|
End Use |
|
|
Application |
|
Vishnu Nair
Head - Global Business DevelopmentCustomize this report to your requirements — connect with our consultant for personalized insights and options.
Smart Thermostat Market Regional Analysis:
APAC Market Insights
The revenue generation of the Asia Pacific smart thermostat market is poised to be the largest and holds a market share of 35% by the end of 2035. The growth of the market is the burgeoning population demanding efficient and eco-friendly climate control solutions in the region. Furthermore, the presence of stringent rules and regulations by the regulatory bodies of India, China, and Japan to reduce power consumption and conserve energy is anticipated to create a positive outlook for market growth during the forecast timeline.
North American Market Insights
The market share of the North American smart thermostat market is projected to grow with a steady CAGR value and garner a 28% share by the end of the forecasted period. The rapid urbanization and industrialization in the region are estimated to bring opportunities for the utilization of smart thermostats. In addition, the growing disposable income of Americans and the technological advancement in the home automation system is anticipated to bring in lucrative growth opportunities for the market size growth in the region.
Smart Thermostat Market Players:
- Google Nest (Google LLC)
- Company Overview
- Business Strategy
- Key Product Offerings
- Financial Performance
- Key Performance Indicators
- Risk Analysis
- Recent Development
- Regional Presence
- SWOT Analysis
- Ecobee, Inc.
- Honeywell International Inc.
- Emerson Electric Co.
- Tado GmbH
- Ingersoll Rand
- Nortek (NTK Holdings, Inc.)
- Schneider Electric SE
- Carrier Global Corporation
- Control4 Corporation (Snap One, LLC)
Recent Developments
- Google Nest, a subsidiary of Google LLC is now adding new features to Nest Thermostat. The new Matter support will enable the owners to adjust temperatures and control the basic features of their thermostats across Matter-compatible smart home platforms.
- Ecobee, Inc. has announced its partnership with select utility companies across the United States to distribute free and discounted Ecobee3 lite, an advanced residential thermostat, that will help the residents stay cool, save energy, and lower energy bills.
- Report ID: 5030
- Published Date: Sep 11, 2025
- Report Format: PDF, PPT
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