Analysis by Form (Gas, Liquid, and Powder); by End User (Pharmaceutical, Fertilizer, Pulp & Paper, Refrigerators, Textile, Mining, and Others); and by Sales Channel (Direct, Distribution) – Global Supply & Demand Analysis & Opportunity Outlook 2023-2033
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The chemical industry is a major component of the economy. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, in 2020, for the U.S., the value added by chemical products as a percentage of GDP was around 1.9%. Additionally, according to the World Bank, the Chemical industry in the U.S. accounted for 16.43% of manufacturing value-added in 2018. With the growing demand from end-users, the market for chemical products is expected to grow in the future. According to UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme), the sales of chemicals are projected to almost double from 2017 to 2030. In the current scenario, Asia Pacific is the largest chemical producing and consuming region. China has the world’s largest chemical industry, which accounted for annual sales of approximately more than USD 1.5 trillion, or about more than one-third of global sales, in recent years. Additionally, a vast consumer base and favorable government policies have boosted investment in China’s chemical industry. The easy availability of low-cost raw materials & labor, as well as government subsidies and relaxed environmental norms, have served as a production base for key vendors globally. On the other hand, according to the FICCI (Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry), the chemical industry in India was valued at 163 billion in 2019 and it contributed 3.4% to the global chemical industry. It ranks 6th in global chemical production. This statistic shows the lucrative opportunity for investment in businesses in Asia Pacific countries in the upcoming years.
Growth Drivers
Increasing Use of Ammonia in Maritime Shipping – Ammonia is colorless and does not produce carbon dioxide on combustion. Also, ammonia can be produced from renewable sources such as water, electricity, and air. All these major factors are estimated to boost the market growth in the coming years. Ammonia is projected to be one of the leading alternatives to traditional oil-based fuels by 2050, according to the International Maritime Organization.
Increasing Refrigerator Purchases – The worldwide exported value of combined refrigerator-freezers in 2021 was USD 19,591,263.
Rising Production of Explosives – The global imported value of explosives as of 2021 was worth USD 897,597.
Less Cost of Renewable Ammonia – The cost of green ammonia is estimated to reach USD 310 per ton by 2050 from USD 720 to 1400 per ton in 2020.
High Demand for Fertilizers – Increasing feed use, the impact of COVID-19, and the Ukraine war increased the demand for fertilizers. To combat this Russian Government rose fertilizer exports increasing nitrogen fertilizers by 231 thousand tons to reach 5.7 million tons as of 2022.
Challenges
The global ammonia market is segmented and analyzed for demand and supply by end-user into pharmaceutical, fertilizer, pulp & paper, refrigerators, textile, mining, and others. Out of these, the fertilizer segment is anticipated to hold the largest market size by the end of 2033 on the account of rising utilization of biofertilizers, the increasing need for food crops, and the rising population. It is estimated that the world’s population reached about 8 billion by 2022 and is projected to reach 10 billion by the end of the century.
Regionally, the global ammonia market is studied into five major regions including North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa region. Amongst these markets, the market in the Asia Pacific region is projected to hold the largest market share by the end of 2033 on the back of increasing agricultural activities, growing crop production, and high production rates of ammonia in the region. China is estimated to be the largest ammonia producer in the Asia Pacific, and it produced about 40 million metric tons of contained nitrogen in 2021.
The global ammonia market is further classified on the basis of region as follows:
Our in-depth analysis of the global ammonia market includes the following segments:
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In 2023, market players might incur losses due to huge gap in currency translation followed by contracting revenues, shrinking profit margins & cost pressure on logistics and supply chain.
Controlling Inflation has become the first priority for global economies from last quarter of 2022 and to be followed in 2023. With skewed economic situations, rise in interest rate by governments to control spending and inflation, spiked oil and gas prices, high inflation, geo-political issues including U.S. & China trade war, Russia-Ukraine conflict to intensify the global economic issues.
The interest rates in the U.S. may be less sensitive in 2023 as compared to 2022; sigh of relief for businesses. Positive business sentiments, healthy business balance sheets, growth in construction spending (private construction value in 2022 stood at $1,429.2 billion, 11.7 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $1,279.5 billion spent in 2021, Residential construction in 2022 was $899.1 billion, up by 13.3 percent (±2.1 percent) from $793.7 billion in 2021, non-residential construction touched $530.1 billion, 9.1 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $485.8 billion in 2021.) showcases minimal impact of recession in the country.
Similarly, spiked spending in the European and major Asia economics including, India, China & Japan to showcase less impact on the global demand.
Ans: Increasing use of ammonia in maritime shipping and the rising production of explosives are the major factors driving the growth of the ammonia market.
Ans: The market is anticipated to attain a CAGR of ~7% over the forecast period, i.e., 2023 – 2033.
Ans: Harmful nature of concentrated ammonia and high capital investment for green ammonia are the challenges affecting the market growth.
Ans: The market in the Asia Pacific region is projected to hold the largest market share by the end of 2033 and provide more business opportunities in the future.
Ans: The major players in the market are Yara International ASA, CF Industries Holdings, Inc., Nutrien Ltd., Group DF, OCI N.V., EuroChem, Group AG, SABIC, Orica Limited, Uralchem JSC, and AB “Achema”.
Ans: The company profiles are selected based on the revenues generated from the product segment, geographical presence of the company which determine the revenue generating capacity as well as the new products being launched into the market by the company.
Ans: The market is segmented by form, end-user, sales channel, and by region.
Ans: The fertilizer segment is anticipated to garner the largest market size by the end of 2033 and display significant growth opportunities.
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