ORC Waste Heat to Power Market - Growth Drivers and Challenges
Growth Drivers
- Rise in energy expenses: Systems in the organic rankine cycle (ORC) waste heat to power market tend to diminish operational costs by converting waste heat into electricity by offering a competitive edge for energy-based sectors. As per official statistics put forth by the UNCTAD Organization in 2023, gaining the energy transition is expected to cost almost USD 5.8 trillion every year by the end of 2030 across 48 developing economies, which is equivalent to 19% of their GDP. Besides, breaking the overall cost down, 80% is required to be spent in the high-income and upper-middle-income developing nations. The per-person yearly expenses across these countries amount to USD 2,042, which is four times more than for low and lower-middle-income nations, thus making it suitable for bolstering the market’s exposure.
International Yearly Expense of Achieving Energy Transition (2023)
|
Economy Type |
Economies Covered |
Total Expense (USD Billion) |
Cost per Capita (USD) |
GDP % |
Gap (USD Billion) |
|
Low and Lower-Middle Income |
19 |
1,133 |
497 |
21 |
5 |
|
Upper-Middle and High-Income |
29 |
4,672 |
2,042 |
18 |
281 |
|
Least Developed Nation |
6 |
74 |
379 |
46 |
2 |
|
Landlocked Developing Countries |
9 |
110 |
695 |
27 |
5 |
|
Small Island Developing States |
8 |
53 |
1,703 |
10 |
3 |
Source: UNCTAD Organization
- Focus on corporate sustainability commitments: The presence of multinational corporations in the ORC waste heat to power market is readily focused on initiating investments. The ultimate purpose is to meet ESG-based targets and significantly demonstrate leadership in sustainability. As per a report published by the OECD in October 2025, 91% of overall listed organizations tend to disclose sustainability-driven information. In addition, 81% of the listed organizations disclosed sustainability information by receiving third-party assurance. Moreover, USD 671 billion has been allocated for 2024 listed energy-sector buybacks and dividends, thus tripling the level, while the investing activity significantly remained stabilized, thereby bolstering the organic rankine cycle waste heat to power market’s upliftment.
- Increase in strict environmental regulations: Governments across different nations are significantly enforcing stringent emission norms. For instance, the Green Deal mandate in Europe is highly focused on industrial decarbonization, directly fueling the ORD waste heat to power market globally. As stated in an article published by the Energy Transition Organization in August 2022, the highly ambitious 2030 decarbonization target in India constitutes decarbonizing energy to 50% and gaining 500 GW of fossil fuel-free generating capacity by the end of 2030. Besides, the per capita electricity consumption in the country deliberately stands at 1,208 kWh, denoting an increase from 559 kWh. This resulted in an increase of almost three times the nation’s economic development, denoting an optimistic outlook for the organic rankine cycle waste heat to power market.
Challenges
- Technical integration risks: Integrating ORC systems into existing industrial processes presents complex engineering challenges, which negatively impact the organic rankine cycle (ORC) waste heat to power market. Waste heat streams vary significantly in temperature, pressure, and consistency across industries, requiring customized ORC designs. This variability makes standardization difficult and increases project costs. For example, cement plants generate intermittent high‑temperature exhaust, while chemical plants often produce continuous low‑grade heat. Designing ORC systems that can efficiently handle these diverse conditions demands advanced engineering and site‑specific feasibility studies. Moreover, ORC efficiency is highly dependent on the quality of the heat source, and fluctuations in industrial operations can reduce output and affect ROI.
- Policy and regulatory uncertainty: While government incentives are a major driver for the ORC waste heat to power market, inconsistent policies across regions create uncertainty for investors and manufacturers. In Europe, strong frameworks, such as the Europe Green Deal and Horizon Europe provide clear support for industrial decarbonization, but in many developing economies, policies remain fragmented or short‑term. This lack of consistency discourages long‑term investments in ORC projects, as companies cannot reliably forecast regulatory compliance costs or incentive availability. In some countries, subsidies are focused on solar or wind, leaving waste heat recovery underfunded despite its potential. Additionally, regulatory hurdles such as permitting, environmental approvals, and grid interconnection requirements can delay projects by months or even years.
ORC Waste Heat to Power Market Size and Forecast:
|
Base Year |
2025 |
|
Forecast Year |
2026-2035 |
|
CAGR |
11.1% |
|
Base Year Market Size (2025) |
USD 5.4 billion |
|
Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
USD 13.9 billion |
|
Regional Scope |
|
Browse key industry insights with market data tables & charts from the report:
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
In the year 2025, the industry size of the ORC waste heat to power market was over USD 5.4 billion.
The market size for the ORC waste heat to power market is projected to reach USD 13.9 billion by the end of 2035 expanding at a CAGR of 11.1% during the forecast period i.e., between 2026-2035.
The major players in the market are Triogen, Zuccato Energia, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, IHI Corporation, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, and others.
In terms of the technology segment, the organic Rankine cycle (ORC) systems is anticipated to garner the largest market share of 48.6% by 2035 and display lucrative growth opportunities during 2026-2035.
The market in the Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share of 34.8% by the end of 2035 and provide more business opportunities in the future.