Nontuberculous Mycobacterium Treatment Market - Growth Drivers and Challenges
Growth Drivers
- Hospitalization burden & patient pool: The rising prevalence of NTM lung disease, especially among the elderly and immunocompromised, is a major demand driver. The World Bank Data in 2025 states that 10% of the global population is 65 years and above and the NIH report in November 2024 depicts that 14 million adults are having chronic pulmonary disease. This demographic shift sustains long-term market growth. This trend places additional strain on healthcare systems, highlighting the need for cost-effective and accessible NTM treatment options.
- Government healthcare spending: The overall budget request for fiscal year 2025 was roughly USD 9.683 billion, based on the March 2024 CDC budget report. The large investments were made to monitor and control infectious diseases, including respiratory pathogens like NTM. Presently, the CDC has increased the health expenditure in 2025 with USD 50 million on respiratory disease treatments. These expanded budget allocations and reimbursement policies underscore the public health emphasis on managing NTM disease through improved treatment access and innovation.
- Developments in diagnostic technology: Molecular testing, in particular, has greatly enhanced the early and precise diagnosis of nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) infections. Molecular methods such as real-time PCR and rpoB gene sequencing have demonstrated sensitivity and specificity rates exceeding 80%, respectively, compared to culture-based diagnostics, based on NLM May 2023 article. This increased accuracy facilitates prompt treatment initiation and improves patient outcomes, driving demand for targeted therapies.
Treatment Regimens and Clinical Considerations for NTM Pulmonary Disease
|
NTM Species |
Treatment Regimen for Associated Pulmonary Disease |
Comments |
|
Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) |
Rifampicin + Ethambutol + Either clarithromycin or azithromycin |
• Non-severe disease: Three times per week regimen |
|
M. kansasii |
Rifampicin + Ethambutol + Either clarithromycin, azithromycin, or isoniazid (with pyridoxine) |
• Rifampicin-resistant M. kansasii: Three-drug regimen guided (but not dictated) by DST |
|
M. malmoense |
Rifampicin + Ethambutol + Either clarithromycin or azithromycin |
• Severe disease: Consider adding IV aminoglycoside |
|
M. xenopi |
Rifampicin + Ethambutol + Either clarithromycin or azithromycin + Either moxifloxacin or isoniazid |
• Severe disease: Consider adding IV aminoglycoside |
|
M. abscessus |
Initial phase: Amikacin (IV) + Tigecycline (IV) + Imipenem (IV) + Either clarithromycin or azithromycin |
• New drug to consider: omadacycline |
Source: NLM January 2024
Historical Patient Pool of NTM Disease
|
Species |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
Total (%) |
|
M. intracellulare |
4 |
13 |
33 |
17 |
27 |
51 |
145 (24.7) |
|
M. avium |
0 |
9 |
29 |
31 |
32 |
53 |
154 (26.2) |
|
M. scrofulaceum |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
15 (2.6) |
|
M. chelonae / M. abscessus |
5 |
11 |
29 |
23 |
31 |
52 |
151 (25.7) |
|
M. Kansasii |
1 |
1 |
8 |
5 |
10 |
12 |
37 (6.3) |
|
M. fortuitum |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
19 (3.2) |
|
M. gordonae |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
13 (2.2) |
|
M. lentiflavum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
10 (1.7) |
|
M. tuberculosis / NTM co-infection |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
2 |
3 |
13 (2.2) |
|
Other species* |
1 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
30 (5.1) |
Source: NLM October 2023
Challenges
- Long treatment duration & adherence issues: High-cost treatment plans can put a strain on patients' access to care. Medicaid and Medicare often limit coverage to just a handful of medications or ask patients to chip in on costs, leaving many unable to afford the complete treatment. Many countries lack clear regulations for non-tuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) infections, which makes it even tougher for patients to find the support they need. The World Health Organization has emphasized how crucial it is to harmonize regulations for non-communicable disease (NCD) drugs to improve access for everyone.
Nontuberculous Mycobacterium Treatment Market Size and Forecast:
|
Base Year |
2025 |
|
Forecast Year |
2026-2035 |
|
CAGR |
2.8% |
|
Base Year Market Size (2025) |
USD 9.8 billion |
|
Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
USD 12.8 billion |
|
Regional Scope |
|