Rolling Stock Market Analysis by End-use (Passenger Transit, and Cargo Train); by Type (Electric, and Diesel); and by Product (Wagon, Rapid Transit Vehicle, Locomotive, and Others) – Global Supply & Demand Analysis & Opportunity Outlook 2023-2035
Buy Now Report ID: 4798 | Published Date: Apr 08, 2023
The global rolling stock market size is estimated to reach ~USD 120.64 Billion by the end of 2035 by growing at a CAGR of ~6.80% over the forecast period, i.e., 2023 – 2035. In addition to this, in the year 2022, the market size of global rolling stock was ~USD 54.78 Billion. The growth of the market can be attributed to the surging traffic congestion across the globe. They are considered one of the best means of transportation as a replacement for road traffic. As per the reported data, the average annual economic losses in the United States cities from traffic congestion accounted for USD 11.0 Billion, USD 7.6 Billion in New York and Chicago respectively, every year.
In the railway transportation industry, rolling stock refers to any vehicle that can move on rails. It includes both electric and diesel vehicles such as passenger coaches, goods wagons, and others. Nowadays, the trend of driverless trains rolling stock is increasing and does not require any driver to operate. The factors that are attributing to the growth of the global rolling stock market include the export and import of goods across the globe, and the comfort of being environmentally friendly. Moreover, the increasing use of different technologies in the form of artificial intelligence, data analytics are anticipated to further support the factors that are expanding the growth of the market in the upcoming years.
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Base Year |
2022 |
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Forecast Year |
2023-2035 |
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CAGR |
~6.80% |
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Base Year Market Size (2022) |
~ USD 54.78 Billion |
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Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
~ USD 120.64 Billion |
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Regional Scope |
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Growth Drivers
Surging Automation in Rolling Stock – Different technologies, such as ATO (automatic train operation), are used in order to automate the operations of the train. Furthermore, efforts are being made to use robots to maintain the rail industry, and it is expected to boost the growth of the global rolling stock in the market. By the year 2030, it is expected that more than 30 percent of all the jobs across the globe will be automated.
Surging Adoption of Public Transportation –Driving more vehicles will just degrade the environment, which will affect the health of the people. Thus, the use of public transportation in the future will be more encouraged among the people, and it is projected to increase the market’s growth. As per the International Energy Agency, the passenger rail activity rises in the High Rail Scenario to 15 trillion passenger-kilometers by the year 2050.
Increasing Initiatives by the Government for Development of Railway Infrastructure– The governments of countries with large population are working on metro projects for easy transportation. As these projects lead to less sound pollution, no air pollution, and a reduction in traffic congestion, the government is therefore making more investments. Thus, it is anticipated to rise the growth of the market over the forecast period. The Government of India, and the Asian Development Bank signed around USD 500 million loan in order to expand the metro rail network in Bengaluru through constructing the two new metro lines totaling 50 kilometers in length.
Surge in Mining & Industrial Activity– The increase in mining activities, through the production of coal and others, is expected to expand the growth of the global rolling stock market. In addition, the intra- and inter-state trade of coal and other mine products is mainly done through the use of railroads for transportation. According to the data in 2020, at least 50 new coal mines will be opened in India by Coal India Limited in the next five years.
Rising Demand for Safer Transport Means- There has been a surge in the number of road accident cases across the globe. On the contrary, the rolling stock moves at a fixed speed, and it is anticipated to drive the market’s growth. In the year 2022, there were more than 150,000 deaths owing to road accidents in India. Moreover, more than 55 percent of the road accidents were owing to the over speeding.
Challenges
The global rolling stock market is segmented and analyzed for demand and supply by type into electric, and diesel. Out of the two types of rolling stock, the electric segment is estimated to gain the largest market share in the year 2035. The growth of the segment can be attributed to the surging need to opt for an environmentally friendly option that emits less carbon monoxide emissions as compared to diesel rail. Moreover, the global warming issue has been a great concern for different means of transportation, and the regulatory authorities are taking necessary actions to reduce the emissions. Therefore, it is anticipated to boost the growth of the segment in the region. For instance, diesel, in particular, plays a much larger role in freight rail, accounting for roughly two-thirds of total energy consumption globally in 2021. In the Net Zero Scenario, continuous progress on freight electrification will reduce this share to around 40% by 2030, as per the International Energy Agency.
The global rolling stock market is also segmented and analyzed for demand and supply by end-use into passenger transit, and cargo train. Out of these, the cargo train segment is anticipated to hold the significant share over the forecast period. The growth of the segment can be attributed to the increasing use of rolling stock as a reliable source for transporting goods from one location to another. Moreover, it is an effective way of transportation used for industrial as well as commercial goods, that is expected to drive the segment’s growth in the market. In addition, the rolling stock is used for international or domestic trade, along with the support through government funding, that is further projected to expand the growth of the segment in the market.
Our in-depth analysis of the global rolling stock market includes the following segments:
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By End Use |
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By Type |
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By Product |
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The market share of rolling stock in Asia Pacific, amongst the market in all the other regions, is projected to be the largest with a share of about ~29% by the end of 2035. The growth of the market can be attributed majorly to the increasing presence of rolling stock and rail traction transformer manufacturers in the region. Along with this, the surging adoption of passenger rail for commuting, is another factor that is expected to boost the growth of the market in the region. In addition, the rising funds allocated by the government for the development of the railway industry through metro projects, and electrified network train routes is another factor that is projected to drive the market’s growth in the region. As per the estimates, in the year 2022, railways will have transported nearly 1400 million tons of freight in India.
The North America rolling stock market is estimated to register significant growth of 23 percent by the end of 2035. The growth of the market can be attributed majorly to the increasing use of metros among the other rolling stock. Furthermore, the presence of developed infrastructure for the railway tracks is increasing the efficiency and decreasing the cost of transportation in the North America region. In addition, the increasing electrification of rail in the North America region is expected to rise the growth of the rolling stock market in the region.
Further, the market in the Middle East and Africa, amongst the market in all the other regions, is projected to have the second fastest growth by the end of 2035. The surging demand for developing an infrastructure of a railway system for transporting of goods such as oil, diesel, as well as passengers is the factor that is expected to drive the rolling stock in the region. Furthermore, the region places an emphasis on creating a railway infrastructure to facilitate cross border travel and trade, that is another factor that is predicted to boost the growth of the market in the Middle East and Africa region. UAE oil exports accounted for more than 25 percent of the total UAE gross domestic product according to recent data.
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. announced that it has acquired a 100% stake in GBX Leasing ("GBXL"), its joint venture with The Longwood Group in railcar leasing ("Longwood"). This contributes to Greenbrier's strategy of expanding its lease fleet and service offerings.
Stadler Rail AG signed a contract with Ferrocarrils de la Generalitat Valenciana for the supply of 16 TRAMLINK trams with the possibility of extending the order by a further 12 vehicles.
In 2023, market players might incur losses due to huge gap in currency translation followed by contracting revenues, shrinking profit margins & cost pressure on logistics and supply chain.
Controlling Inflation has become the first priority for global economies from last quarter of 2022 and to be followed in 2023. With skewed economic situations, rise in interest rate by governments to control spending and inflation, spiked oil and gas prices, high inflation, geo-political issues including U.S. & China trade war, Russia-Ukraine conflict to intensify the global economic issues.
The interest rates in the U.S. may be less sensitive in 2023 as compared to 2022; sigh of relief for businesses. Positive business sentiments, healthy business balance sheets, growth in construction spending (private construction value in 2022 stood at $1,429.2 billion, 11.7 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $1,279.5 billion spent in 2021, Residential construction in 2022 was $899.1 billion, up by 13.3 percent (±2.1 percent) from $793.7 billion in 2021, non-residential construction touched $530.1 billion, 9.1 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $485.8 billion in 2021.) showcases minimal impact of recession in the country.
Similarly, spiked spending in the European and major Asia economics including, India, China & Japan to showcase less impact on the global demand.
Author Credits: Yashika Karodiwal, Radhika Gupta
Ans: Surging automation in rolling stock, increasing application of big data in rail industry, and surge in mining and industrial activity are the major factors driving the market growth.
Ans: The market size of rolling stock is anticipated to attain a CAGR of ~6.80% over the forecast period, i.e., 2023 – 2035.
Ans: Inability to adjust the route and timings according to the individual requirements, and lack of advanced infrastructure are estimated to be the growth hindering factors for the market expansion.
Ans: The market in the Asia Pacific region is projected to hold the largest market share by the end of 2035 and provide more business opportunities in the future.
Ans: The major players in the market are HYUNDAI Corporation, Siemens AG, ALSTOM, Wabtec Corporation, Stadler Rail AG, MAPNA Group, PPF GROUP, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc., Stadler Rail AG, IHI Corporation, and others.
Ans: The company profiles are selected based on the revenues generated from the product segment, the geographical presence of the company which determines the revenue generating capacity as well as the new products being launched into the market by the company.
Ans: The market is segmented by end use, type, product, and by region.
Ans: The electric segment is anticipated to garner the largest market size by the end of 2035 and display significant growth opportunities.
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