Renewable Energy Certificate Market Size & Share, by Type (Solar Energy, Wind power, Hydroelectric power, and Gas power); End use; and Capacity - Global Supply & Demand Analysis, Growth Forecasts, Statistics Report 2025-2037

  • Report ID: 7498
  • Published Date: Apr 11, 2025
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

 

Global Market Size, Forecast, and Trend Highlights Over 2025-2037

Renewable Energy Certificate Market size was USD 5.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 102.2 billion by the end of 2037, expanding at a CAGR of 24.7% during the forecast period, i.e., 2025-2037. In 2025, the industry size of renewable energy certificates is evaluated at USD 7.2 billion. 

The renewable energy certificate market is driven by rising energy demand, and the government mandates that private companies meet renewable energy targets. Environmental concerns such as global warming, ozone layer depletion, and pollution pushed the government to enforce policies to minimize carbon footprints. REC illustrates the production of 1 MWh of electricity from a certified renewable source. The rising awareness about environmental problems and the increasing adoption of micro wind turbines, hydro-power plants, and solar panels propel the renewable energy certificate market growth.

Furthermore, strict government regulations on renewable energy boost demand. For instance, in the U.S., the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) requires electric utilities and other retail electric providers to source a particular percentage of electricity from renewable sources. These standards are implemented to raise the usage of renewable energy, thus minimizing greenhouse gas emissions, and to promote clean energy industries. In 2024, 28 states and the Columbia have adopted RPS programs to attain 100% renewable energy by 2050. Companies that are not able to produce green energy can purchase RECs to comply. Such policies stimulate investors toward renewable energy, which drives the expansion of the renewable energy certificate market worldwide.

The adoption of micro hydropower plants is driven by the existence of canals, water streams, and increasing investments in hydropower innovations. The need for RECs is rising due to the demand to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and the growing preference for green energy. Governments, corporations, and consumers are concentrating on sustainability, which further expands REC trading worldwide. For instance, Bhutan produces hydropower estimated at approximately 36,900 MW with an annual production capability of 154,000 GWh from its rivers and exports electricity by using RECs. Such initiatives help to satisfy global renewable energy targets.


Renewable Energy Certificate Market Size
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Renewable Energy Certificate Market: Growth Drivers and Challenges

Growth Drivers

  • Increasing awareness of renewable energy: The global adoption of renewable energy is driven by increasing carbon emissions, energy security concerns, climatic changes, lack of fossil fuels, government regulations, technological enhancements, corporate sustainability commitments, declining renewable energy costs, health impacts, public awareness, grid modernization, and air pollution. Furthermore, consumers are highly adopting renewables to minimize carbon emissions and combat climate change. As sustainability concerns rise, people choose products and services from companies that illustrate environmental responsibility.

    In response, several businesses choose renewable energy and purchase RECs to satisfy corporate sustainability goals and align with consumers' anticipations. This trend prominently expands the renewable energy certificate market. For example, major corporations such as Apple and Google commit that their operations will be powered by renewables. Google declared that it has attained its goal of purchasing renewables to match 100% of its global electricity consumption, involving both physical energy and appropriate RECs. By 2020, Google continued this trend, matching 100% of its global electricity use with renewable energy purchases for four consecutive years.

    Similarly, Apple also made substantial progress in renewable energy adoption. In 2024, Apple declared that 18 GW of clean electricity was powering its global operations and manufacturing supply chain, more than triple the amount since 2020. Apple's suppliers have enforced several clean energy solutions, such as onsite renewable electricity, renewable power purchase, and purchase of renewable energy certificates. Such commitments improve the brand reputation and donate to global sustainability efforts.
  • Government support and policies driving the growth: Government initiatives and policies play a key role in driving the growth of the renewable energy certificate market. As countries have shifted towards clean energy, regulations and incentives support renewable energy adoption. The U.S. aims for a 100% clean energy future by 2050, with the Biden administration expanding tax credits for solar, wind, and battery storage projects. Similarly, the European Union's Green Deal and net-zero have raised the need for REC. In India, the government's RECs mechanism facilitates energy producers to sell RECs, thus helping to create revenue streams and encouraging green energy investments.

    All these policies offer financial incentives and regulatory support, guaranteeing long-term renewable energy certificate market stability. For instance, Amazon purchases RECs to offset its carbon footprint and satisfy sustainability targets. According to Amazon's Renewable Energy Methodology, the company reports environmental attributes such as RECs for each MWh of renewable energy claimed from the projects it enables. Amazon attains its goal of matching 100% of the electricity consumed across its global operations with renewable energy. Such corporate commitments align with government policies and further encourage renewable energy certificate market growth.

Challenges

  • Lack of investors in the industry: The renewable energy sector addresses investment challenges due to high initial capital costs compared to traditional fossil fuel projects. Limited funding delays the project's execution or limits scalability. Furthermore, incompatible policy frameworks and regulatory uncertainties deter investors, as changes in government incentives, tax credits, and subsidies create an unreliable investment landscape. The lack of stable financial support and maintaining clear renewable energy targets discourages long-term goals, affecting the growth of the renewable energy certificate market. To encourage investors, governments have to implement consistent incentives, policies, and regulatory frameworks to ensure profitability in the renewable energy sector.
  • High costs and financial challenges in adopting renewable energy certificates: The high upfront costs of transitioning to renewable energy sources present more difficulties with the widespread adoption of RECs. Despite government incentives, industries, particularly medium and small-sized businesses, toil with the financial burden of installing solar panels, wind turbines, or other green technologies. For instance, the food industry, which depends on energy-intensive processes, addresses substantial investment requirements. Additionally, regional disparities in renewable energy availability further complicate adoption. While RECs help offset costs, they may not fully remove financial obstacles. These challenges slow down REC adoption, forcing businesses to purchase RECs rather than invest in their renewable infrastructure.

Base Year

2024

Forecast Year

2025-2037

CAGR

24.7%

Base Year Market Size (2024)

USD 5.8 billion

Forecast Year Market Size (2037)

USD 102.2 billion

Regional Scope

  • North America (U.S. and Canada)
  • Asia Pacific (Japan, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Australia, Rest of Asia Pacific)
  • Europe (UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, NORDIC, Rest of Europe)
  • Latin America (Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Rest of Latin America)
  • Middle East and Africa (Israel, GCC North Africa, South Africa, Rest of the Middle East and Africa)

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Renewable Energy Certificate Segmentation

Type (Solar Energy, Wind power, Hydroelectric power, and Gas power)

In renewable energy certificate market, solar energy segment is expected to hold over 69.5% revenue share by the end of 2037, driven by enhancements in photovoltaic technology, escalating global emphasis on clean energy solutions, lowering installation costs, and substantial investments in solar infrastructure. Regions abundant in sunlight, such as Australia, the Middle East, and the U.S., saw heightened activity in solar REC issuance.  Solar power harnesses sunlight, converting it into electricity through PV systems or concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies.

PV systems are especially prevalent in medium and small-scale applications, including consumer electronics such as calculators and remote controls. Globally, government initiatives have significantly propelled the adoption of solar energy. For instance, the UK government, through Great British Energy, has committed to funding the installation of solar panels on 200 schools and 200 NHS sites within a year, aiming to minimize energy costs and promote renewable energy usage.

 Similarly, Cuba is enhancing its renewable energy agenda by planning the installation of over 50 solar parks in 2025, expected to generate over 1,000 MW, as part of a broader strategy to increase renewable energy to 24% of total electricity during the forecast period. The private sectors also invest in expanding solar power infrastructure. In Pakistan, businesses are increasingly installing affordable Chinese solar panels to counteract rising electricity prices, thereby minimizing operational costs and improving competitiveness. These efforts from both the public and private sectors underscore the importance of solar energy in the REC market and its contribution to a sustainable energy future.

End use (Voluntary, Compliance)

The compliance segment is expected to dominate the renewable energy certificate market by holding a substantial share. This dominance is driven by strict government regulations, compelling organizations to satisfy renewable energy targets. For instance, the Tata Power reports that the company sources 26000 million units of green power in FY 2022-23 from several renewables such as wind, solar, and hydro etc. The company sold 26% of the total units of renewable power generated in its operational area to consumers. Such initiatives underscore the rising need for compliance-driven REC purchases as businesses strive to adhere to environmental policies and promote sustainability.

On the other hand, the voluntary segment witnesses significant growth during the forecast period, driven by rising consumer needs, corporate sustainability commitments for environmental practices. As businesses strive to minimize their sustainability goals, the adoption of voluntary RECs has risen steadily. Although this segment is anticipated to grow further in response to growing environmental awareness, its market share remains lower than that of the compliance segment.

Our in-depth analysis of the global renewable energy certificate market includes the following segments:

Type

  • Solar Energy
  • Wind power
  • Hydroelectric power
  • Gas power

End use

  • Voluntary
  • Compliance

Capacity

  • 0-1,000 KWH
  • 1,100-5,000 KWH,
  • More than 5,000 KWH

Application

  • Commercial
  • Industrial
  • Residential

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Renewable Energy Certificate Industry - Regional Synopsis

North America Market Statistics

North America renewable energy certificate market is projected to hold revenue share of more than 44.6% by 2037. Stringent renewable energy policies in both the U.S. and Canada drive this growth. In the U.S., the Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) mandate utilities to source a portion of their electricity from renewables, with states such as Texas, California, and New York. Setting ambitious clean energy targets, thereby fueling REC demand. Canada also plays a crucial role with provinces such as Alberta implementing Green Energy Certificates and British Columbia enforcing its Clean Energy Act to support renewable adoption.

These policies collectively drive investment in clean energy projects, ensuring renewable energy certificate market expansion. For instance, Ontario’s Feed-In-Tariff (FIT) Program was designed to promote renewable energy generation by offering long-term contracts with guaranteed pricing for electricity produced from renewable sources such as bioenergy, solar, and wind. This initiative led to the development of significant renewable energy projects, including the Sarnia Photovoltaic Power Plant, the world’s largest solar farm with a capacity of 97 MW. This underscores the government's incentivized renewable energy generation and further strengthens the REC landscape.

Europe Market Analysis

Europe has rapidly emerged as the fastest-growing renewable energy certificate market, driven by the European Union’s Renewable Energy Directive and individual national initiatives. Germany’s Energiewende policy exemplifies this comment, aiming for a substantial transition to renewable energy sources. By 2024, renewables accounted for 529.4% of Germany’s electricity production, and renewable electricity generation reached a high of 256.4 TWh. In the UK, the Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs) scheme has been pivotal in promoting renewable electricity generation. As of 2022, renewable sources generated 41.8% of the UK’s electricity, with wind energy playing a significant role. These initiatives, coupled with strong consumer demand for substantial practices and substantial investments in renewable infrastructure, have bolstered Europe’s renewable energy certificate market. For instance, the UK’s net-zero sector grew by 10.1% in 2024, contributing approximately USD 107.4 billion to the economy and creating high-wage jobs, reflecting the region’s robust commitment to renewable energy adoption.

Renewable Energy Certificate Market Share
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Companies Dominating the Renewable Energy Certificate Landscape

    The renewable energy certificate market is driven by key players responsible for managing, tracking, and certifying renewable energy consumption. Companies leverage enhanced technologies in wind, solar, and hydropower to ensure transparency, compliance, and sustainability in the global transition to clean energy.

    • Defense Logistics Agency Energy
      • Company Overview
      • Business Strategy
      • Key Product Offerings
      • Financial Performance
      • Key Performance Indicators
      • Risk Analysis
      • Recent Development
      • Regional Presence
      • SWOT Analysis
    • Ecohz
    • Environmental Tracking Network of North America
    • General Services Administration
    • Green-e Energy
    • Statkraft
    • STX Group
    • The Green Certificate Company
    • Western Area Power Administration
    • Canadian Solar Inc. 

In the News

  • In March 2024, KBank and INNPOWER joined forces to introduce a renewable energy certification platform in Thailand. This initiative is designed to encourage the growth of renewable energy usage within the country. Additionally, KBank has rolled out a diverse array of products and services aligned with this concept, while the partnership provides large enterprises with the opportunity to reach their net-zero emissions goals.
  • In 2024, DLA Energy has pledged to enhance its utilization of renewable energy sources, aiming to align with the U.S. federal renewable energy objectives, which include obtaining 25% of its energy from renewable sources by 2025.

Author Credits:   Dhruv Bhatia


  • Report ID: 7498
  • Published Date: Apr 11, 2025
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

In the year 2024, the industry size of renewable energy certificates was over USD 5.8 billion.

The market size for renewable energy certificates is projected to cross USD 102.2 billion by the end of 2037, expanding at a CAGR of 24.7% during the forecast period, i.e., between 2025 and 2037.

The major players in the market are Central Electricity Regulatory Commission, Defense Logistics Agency Energy, Ecohz, Environmental Tracking Network of North America, General Services Administration, Green-e Energy, S. Environment Protection Agency, Statkraft, STX Group, The Green Certificate Company, U.S. Environment Protection Agency, Western Area Power Administration and others.

The solar energy segment is predicted to gain the largest market share of 69.5% during the projected period.

The North America renewable energy certificate sector is poised to hold a 44.6% share by the end of 2037.
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