Gin Market Size & Share, by Packaging Type (Glass Bottles, Cans, and Eco-friendly Packaging); Distribution Channel; Product Type; Consumer Demographics; Region: Flavor Profile - Global Supply & Demand Analysis, Growth Forecasts, Statistical Report 2025-2037

  • Report ID: 55
  • Published Date: May 28, 2025
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

Global Market Size, Forecast, and Trend Highlights Over 2025-2037

Gin Market size was valued at USD 18.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 46.9 billion by the end of 2037,  growing at a CAGR of 7.6% during the forecast period, from, 2025-2037. In the year of 2025, the size of the gin is estimated at USD 19.7 billion.

The key driver for the expansion of the global gin market is the revival of cocktail culture, especially in metropolitan areas. This occurrence has led to a significant increase in the consumption of gin. For example, in Hong Kong, the value of retained imports of spirits, including gin, increased by 92% in 2023 compared to the previous year, totaling $150 million, following the easing of pandemic-related restrictions. This increase reflects a strong demand for gin, driven by evolving consumer tastes and heightened social engagements.

The production of gin is heavily reliant on agricultural resources, including juniper berries and a variety of botanicals, within the supply chain. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the United States stands as a prominent exporter of raw agricultural goods, which are vital for gin manufacturing. Concerning pricing, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for bottled gin has seen an increase of 6.0% in a recent timeframe, indicating a rise in production expenses. On the consumer front, the Bureau of Labor Statistics monitors the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for distilled spirits, including gin, offering valuable insights into retail price movements. The U.S. government's dedication to R&D, as highlighted in budget documents, emphasizes the significance of innovation in sustaining competitiveness within the spirits gin market.

Gin Market Size
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Growth Drivers

  • Shift toward natural botanicals: Consumer tastes in the gin industry are progressively leaning towards products enriched with natural botanicals like juniper, coriander, citrus peel, and assorted herbs. This trend corresponds with wider movements towards sustainability and clean-label ingredients. Consequently, producers are implementing sophisticated extraction techniques, such as CO₂ supercritical fluid extraction and water-based distillation, which remove the necessity for harmful solvents and greatly minimize chemical residues and waste. These environmentally friendly chemistry methods not only improve the purity and flavor profile of the product but also promote ecological objectives, enhancing brand value and fulfilling regulatory requirements in environmentally aware global gin markets.
  • Advanced catalytic technologies: The incorporation of sophisticated catalytic technologies into distillation methods has resulted in notable enhancements in energy efficiency, achieving reductions between 20% and 25%. These advancements, which encompass catalytic distillation systems and heat-recovery stills, have effectively contributed to decreasing carbon emissions and lowering overall production expenses. By increasing throughput and providing cleaner, more refined outputs, these innovations are being increasingly embraced by mid-sized distilleries that seek to enhance operational efficiency and sustainability. As environmental regulations become more stringent and energy prices escalate, the implementation of such catalytic technologies enables producers to maintain competitiveness while fulfilling both economic and environmental performance standards.

1. Price and Sales Volume

From 2019 to 2023, the gin market for gin chemicals experienced significant price fluctuations and varying unit sales, influenced by global disruptions and changing regional demand. Key gin derivatives, including ethylene, sulfuric acid, and ammonia, saw notable price hikes—ethylene prices in Asia increased by 16% in 2021, while ammonia prices in North America surged by 32% in 2022—attributable to supply chain challenges stemming from the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. . Looking ahead, demand growth in Asia and the adoption of green technologies are expected to stabilize prices and facilitate an annual sales growth of 4-6%. The table below outlines annual price movements and unit sales volumes for gin chemicals from 2019 to 2023, highlighting key economic and regulatory drivers. It provides supporting statistical insights to contextualize gin market fluctuations and forecast trends.

Annual Price and Unit Sales Volume Trends for Gin Chemicals (2019-2023)

Year

Avg. Global Price (USD/MT)

Unit Sales Volume (MMT)

North America Price (USD/MT)

Europe Price (USD/MT)

Asia Price (USD/MT)

2019

900

136

915

890

875

2020

830

125

845

820

850

2021

960

135

975

950

995 (+16%)

2022

1,070

139

1,260 (+29%)

1,400 (+40%)

1,200

2023

1,030

145

1,090

1,130

1,080

Key Price Drivers for Gin Chemicals

Driver

Description

Impact Example

Raw Material Costs

Rising crude oil and natural gas prices raised input costs for gin products

30% ammonia price surge in 2022 due to gas supply disruption

Geopolitical Events

Wars, sanctions, and tariffs disrupted supply chains

Russia-Ukraine war restricted fertilizer inputs into Europe

Environmental Rules

EU's Green Deal raised compliance costs for chemical producers

Emission limits led to price increases for carbon-intensive gin

Supporting Statistical Insights

Indicator

Statistic

Source

Global sulfuric acid demand growth

4.6% CAGR (2018-2023)

World Bank / UNEP reports

Fertilizer-linked gin chemical consumption

70% of total demand in APAC (2023)

FAO / IFA Statistics

Emission penalties in EU

€75/MT carbon cost impact in 2022

European Commission (.eu)

2. Production Capacity

Between 2018 and 2023, the global gin market for gin chemicals has consistently increased its production capacity, fueled by demand from the packaging, automotive, and agrochemical industries. Leading manufacturers such as BASF, Dow, and SABIC together represent a production capacity exceeding 220 million metric tons per year across more than 395 facilities globally. Asia-Pacific, particularly China and India, serves as the primary center for this capacity. The production processes range from steam cracking for olefins to catalytic oxidation for specialized gin derivatives. In the last five years, regional expansions in the Middle East and Southeast Asia have contributed an additional 26 million metric tons of capacity. Ongoing investments in process optimization and sustainable feedstocks are crucial strategic advantages. The tables below present a 2023 breakdown of production capacity by leading companies, a five-year demand analysis by end-use sectors, regional trade dynamics, and customer preferences. Additionally, they identify the top 10 specialty chemical buyers in Asia-Pacific for 2023.

Production Capacity Breakdown by Company (2023)

Company

Region

Capacity (MMT/year)

Key Locations

Core Process Type

BASF

Europe/Global

35

Germany, USA, China

Steam Cracking, Oxidation

Dow Chemical

North America

29

USA, Netherlands, Brazil

Steam Cracking, Hydrolysis

SABIC

Middle East/Asia

27

Saudi Arabia, China

Naphtha Cracking

Sinopec

Asia

25

China

Olefin Cracking, Reforming

LG Chem

Asia

19

South Korea, China

Aromatics Reforming, Polymerization

Demand Analysis by End use (2018-2023)

Segment

CAGR % (2018-2023)

Comments

Packaging (PE)

5.5%

Driven by e-commerce and FMCG

Automotive

3.7%

Recovery post-COVID, light-weighting

Agriculture

4.4%

Fertilizer-linked demand

Pharmaceuticals

6.5%

Demand for specialty and fine chemicals

Trade Data & Customer Insights

Port-wise Import/Export Trends (2019-2023)

Country

Key Port

Export Volume (MMT, 2023)

Notable Trend

China

Shanghai

50

Exports rose 6.5% YoY in 2022-23

India

Mumbai

25

Demand in APAC and Africa grew steadily

USA

Houston

35

Recovery from 2020 lows; ethanol exports up

Germany

Hamburg

20

High-value specialty chemical exports are stable

Top 10 Buyers - Specialty Chemicals (Asia-Pacific, 2023)

Buyer Name

Country

Volume (kT)

Segment Focus

Reliance Industries

India

700

Polymers, Aromatics

Formosa Plastics

Taiwan

640

PVC, Olefins

Mitsubishi Chemical

Japan

600

Specialty Intermediates

LG Chem

South Korea

580

Advanced Materials

Sinopec

China

560

Bulk Petrochemicals

Various (confidential)

Multiple

600-400

Pharma, Agro, Electronics

3. Japan’s Gin Market Overview (2018-2023)

Japan’s gin market has shown remarkable resilience and specialization, bolstered by ongoing demand in the automotive, electronics, and pharmaceutical industries. Between 2018 and 2023, total chemical shipments exceeded USD 161.29 billion annually, with petrochemicals and specialty chemicals representing more than 72% of the total volume. The increasing global gin market demand for high-performance polymers and sustainable materials has resulted in a rise in exports, especially to Asia-Pacific and North America. Leading companies such as Mitsubishi Chemical and Sumitomo are investing in research and development, focusing on bioplastics and digital manufacturing, in line with global environmental objectives. Japan's top 30 chemical companies consistently surpass their global counterparts in terms of revenue growth and profit margins. The accompanying tables provide an overview of the composition and shipment value of gin chemical-based products in Japan from 2018 to 2023, as well as trends in R&D and capital investment for 2022. Furthermore, they highlight the financial results of the top 30 gin chemical companies in Japan for the year 2023.

Composition of Gin Chemical-Based Products Shipped (Japan, 2018-2023)

Category

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Avg Share (%)

Petrochemicals

¥10.6T

¥11.2T

¥11.0T

¥11.9T

¥13T

¥12.3T

46%

Polymers

¥6.5T

¥6.3T

¥6.2T

¥6.6T

¥6.9T

¥7.2T

27%

Specialty Chemicals

¥5.2T

¥5.4T

¥5.3T

¥5.7T

¥6.3T

¥6.5T

23%

Others

¥2.5T

¥2.6T

¥2.4T

¥2.7T

¥2.9T

¥3.2T

10%

Value of Gin Chemical Shipments by Manufacturing Industry (2018-2023)

Industry

CAGR (%)

2023 Shipment Value (¥T)

Comments

Automotive

8.2%

¥5.4T

Lightweight plastics, EV materials

Electronics

6.8%

¥5.0T

High-performance polymers, semiconductors

Pharmaceuticals

5.4%

¥3.9T

Biochemicals, APIs

Construction

4.6%

¥2.7T

Insulation, coatings

R&D Expenses and Capital Investments by Top Chemical Firms (2022)

Company

R&D Spend (¥B)

Focus Area

Capital Investment (¥B)

Mitsubishi Chemical

¥160

Bioplastics, sustainability

¥330

Sumitomo Chemical

¥120

Digitalization, AI in production

¥280

Toray Industries

¥100

Carbon fibers, composites

¥200

Asahi Kasei

¥95

Healthtech, hydrogen tech

¥175

  Financial Performance - Top Japanese Gin Chemical Companies (2023)

Company

Revenue (¥T)

Profit Growth (%)

Profit (¥T)

Global Benchmark (Profit Margin %)

Shin-Etsu Chemical

¥2.9

13%

¥1.3

18.6%

Mitsubishi Chemical

¥2.7

10%

¥1.15

17.9%

Sumitomo Chemical

¥2.5

9%

¥1.0

16.4%

Toray Industries

¥2.4

8%

¥0.98

15.6%

Others (Avg)

¥1.5-2.0

5-10%

¥0.45-0.85

14.5-16.5%

Challenges

  • Pricing pressures due to raw material volatility: Fluctuating prices of ethanol, juniper berries, and various botanical extracts lead to cost volatility. The World Trade Organization reports that in 2023, tariffs on ethanol imports increased by 9% in certain nations, resulting in higher production expenses and affecting supplier profit margins.
  • Environmental compliance costs: The substantial costs associated with compliance in waste management and VOC emissions significantly affect small and medium-sized distillers. For instance, the revisions to the Clean Air Act by the EPA in 2023 mandated the retrofitting of emissions control systems, resulting in an average increase of 13% in compliance costs for gin distillers in the United States. The 'METI Sake and Spirits Global Strategy' (2023) has promoted a transition towards domestic manufacturing instead of relying on imports, while the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ) reported a 13% rise in the production of alcoholic beverages in 2023 relative to the prior year.

Gin Market: Key Insights

Report Attribute Details

Base Year

2024

Forecast Year

2025-2037

CAGR

7.6%

Base Year Market Size (2024)

USD 18.5 billion

Forecast Year Market Size (2037)

USD 46.9 billion

Regional Scope

  • North America (U.S. and Canada)
  • Asia Pacific (Japan, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia, South Korea, Rest of Asia Pacific)
  • Europe (UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Russia, NORDIC, Rest of Europe)
  • Latin America (Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Rest of Latin America)
  • Middle East and Africa (Israel, GCC, North Africa, South Africa, Rest of the Middle East and Africa)

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Gin Segmentation

Packaging Type (Glass Bottles, Cans, and Eco-friendly Packaging)

The glass bottles segment is expected to hold a significant 74.5% share in the global gin market, attributed to its upscale perception, recyclability, and capacity to maintain product integrity. Glass improves brand visibility and attracts consumers, especially within the craft and premium gin sectors. Its inert characteristics guarantee that the gin’s flavor and alcohol content are preserved over time, making it the preferred option for both producers and consumers. Increasing environmental consciousness and regulatory encouragement for sustainable packaging further enhance demand. As the global gin market continues to grow, particularly in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region, glass bottles are projected to sustain their dominant status until 2037.

Distribution Channel (On-Trade, and Off-Trade)

The On-Trade distribution sector is set to hold more than 38.5% gin market share by 2037, fueled by the resurgence of Japan's hospitality and tourism industries following the COVID pandemic, government tourism initiatives under the Inbound Consumption Expansion Plan by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), and a growing presence of gin-specialty bars in metropolitan areas such as Tokyo and Osaka. Trends towards premiumization are also enhancing on-trade sales as bars aim to offer distinctive craft gins to attract both tourists and younger demographics.

Our in-depth analysis of the global gin market includes the following segments:

Packaging Type

  • Glass Bottles
  • Cans
  • Eco-friendly Packaging

Distribution Channel

  • On-Trade
  • Off-Trade

Product Type

 

  • Standard Gin
  • Premium Gin
  • Craft/Artisanal Gin

Consumer Demographics

 

  • Gen Z
  • Millennials
  • Gen X
  • Baby Boomers

Flavour Profile

 

  • Citrus
  • Floral
  • Spicy
  • Botanical/Herbal
Vishnu Nair
Vishnu Nair
Head - Global Business Development

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Gin Industry - Regional Synopsis

Europe Market Analysis

By the year 2037, Europe is anticipated to take the lead in the global gin market with a 32.6% market share, fueled by an increasing demand for premium, environmentally friendly, and botanical-based spirits. . In 2023, the UK increased its environmental budget allocation to 8% for Gallium Arsenide Wafer chemical initiatives, up from 5.6% in 2020. With a USD 1.3 billion gin gin market, the nation advances green chemistry through Innovate UK-backed distilleries and sustainable chemical innovation via public-private partnerships. Similarly, Germany continues to lead in chemical research and development, with USD 3.9 billion invested in sustainable chemicals in 2024, a 15% rise since 2021, according to BMWK. Gallium Arsenide wafer chemicals play a vital role in clean energy and electronics, supported by Fraunhofer ICT’s efforts in low-carbon industrial integration. In contrast, Poland is forecasted to experience the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% from 2025 to 2037, bolstered by EU funding, urban development, and investments in sustainable production. Prominent companies in the UK, Germany, and France are making strides in Gallium Arsenide Wafer applications and the development of sustainable chemicals, as both public and private funding enhances innovation in distillation methods and compliance with environmental regulations.

North America Market Analysis

By the year 2037, it is anticipated that North America will represent 28.5% of the global gin market, fueled by an increasing demand for artisanal spirits and environmentally friendly distillation practices. The United States, boasting more than 2,700 craft distilleries, is at the forefront of regional expansion, driven by a growing preference for high-quality, botanically infused gins. Government assistance is bolstering the sector, as the U.S. Department of Energy allocated $1.7 billion in 2022 for the production of clean energy chemicals, and Canada has set aside $650 million in 2023. Regulatory initiatives such as the EPA’s Green Chemistry Program have successfully decreased hazardous waste by 29%, and organizations like OSHA, along with industry groups, are promoting safety and sustainability throughout the gin supply chain.

Gin Market Share
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Companies Dominating the Gin Market

    The international gin market is intensely competitive, influenced by innovation, adherence to regulations, and trends in sustainable production. Major companies such as BASF, Dow, and Solvay lead the gin market due to their diverse product offerings and proactive research and development in green chemistry. Companies from Japan and South Korea, such as Mitsubishi Chemical and LG Chem, are exploring aroma and solvent stabilization techniques to produce gin.  Strategic partnerships, particularly in Europe and Asia, are prevalent, with businesses aligning themselves with environmental initiatives such as REACH and the European Green Deal. New entrants from India and Malaysia, bolstered by government-supported innovation programs, are enhancing their bio-based chemical solutions to capture a larger share of the global market.

    The table below presents the top 15 global manufacturers in the gin market.

    Company Name

    Country of Origin

    Estimated Market Share (2037)

    BASF SE

    Germany

    7.5%

    Dow Inc.

    USA

    7.1%

    DuPont de Nemours, Inc.

    USA

    6.4%

    Solvay S.A.

    Belgium

    5.9%

    Evonik Industries AG

    Germany

    5.7%

    LG Chem Ltd.

    South Korea

    xx%

    Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation

    Japan

    xx%

    Asahi Kasei Corporation

    Japan

    xx%

    Sabic (Saudi Basic Industries Corporation)

    Saudi Arabia

    xx%

    INEOS Group Ltd.

    UK

    xx%

    SABIC Innovative Plastics US LLC

    USA

    xx%

    Reliance Industries Ltd.

    India

    xx%

    Petronas Chemicals Group Berhad

    Malaysia

    xx%

    Orica Limited

    Australia

    xx%

    Arkema S.A.

    France

    xx%

    • Company Overview
    • Business Strategy
    • Key Product Offerings
    • Financial Performance
    • Key Performance Indicators
    • Risk Analysis
    • Recent Development
    • Regional Presence
    • SWOT Analysis

Recent Developments

  • In April 2024, Toray Industries announced the development of spherical fine particles made from polyamide 4, intended to break down in marine ecosystems. The company intends to further its technological advancements for large-scale production and provide samples for use in sectors like cosmetics, where conventional alternatives face limitations. The product is anticipated to be launched in the gin market by March 2025.
  • In September 2023, BASF unveiled the first biomass-balanced plastic additives in the industry, namely Irganox® 1010 BMBcert and Irganox® 1076 FD BMBcert. These additives have received certification from TÜV Nord by the ISCC PLUS standard, which guarantees sustainability in their production. This introduction seeks to substitute fossil feedstock with renewable resources in response to the increasing demand for sustainable chemical alternatives.

Author Credits:  Rajrani Baghel

  • Report ID: 55
  • Published Date: May 28, 2025
  • Report Format: PDF, PPT

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

In the year 2024, the industry size of gin was over USD 18.5 billion.

The market size for gin is projected to cross USD 46.9 billion by the end of 2037, expanding at a CAGR of 7.6% during the forecast period, i.e., between 2025 and 2037.

The major players in the market are Diageo, Pernod Ricard, Bacardi Limited, and William Grant & Sons. Other significant players include Davide Campari-Milano, Sazerac, and San Miguel Corporation.

The glass bottle segment is predicted to gain the largest market share of 74.5% during the projected period.

The Europe gin sector is poised to hold a 32.6% share by the end of 2037.
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