Global Market Size, Forecast, and Trend Highlights Over 2025-2037
Gin Market size was valued at USD 18.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 46.9 billion by the end of 2037, growing at a CAGR of 7.6% during the forecast period, from, 2025-2037. In the year of 2025, the size of the gin is estimated at USD 19.7 billion.
The key driver for the expansion of the global gin market is the revival of cocktail culture, especially in metropolitan areas. This occurrence has led to a significant increase in the consumption of gin. For example, in Hong Kong, the value of retained imports of spirits, including gin, increased by 92% in 2023 compared to the previous year, totaling $150 million, following the easing of pandemic-related restrictions. This increase reflects a strong demand for gin, driven by evolving consumer tastes and heightened social engagements.
The production of gin is heavily reliant on agricultural resources, including juniper berries and a variety of botanicals, within the supply chain. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the United States stands as a prominent exporter of raw agricultural goods, which are vital for gin manufacturing. Concerning pricing, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for bottled gin has seen an increase of 6.0% in a recent timeframe, indicating a rise in production expenses. On the consumer front, the Bureau of Labor Statistics monitors the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for distilled spirits, including gin, offering valuable insights into retail price movements. The U.S. government's dedication to R&D, as highlighted in budget documents, emphasizes the significance of innovation in sustaining competitiveness within the spirits gin market.

Gin Market: Growth Drivers and Challenges
Growth Drivers
- Shift toward natural botanicals: Consumer tastes in the gin industry are progressively leaning towards products enriched with natural botanicals like juniper, coriander, citrus peel, and assorted herbs. This trend corresponds with wider movements towards sustainability and clean-label ingredients. Consequently, producers are implementing sophisticated extraction techniques, such as CO₂ supercritical fluid extraction and water-based distillation, which remove the necessity for harmful solvents and greatly minimize chemical residues and waste. These environmentally friendly chemistry methods not only improve the purity and flavor profile of the product but also promote ecological objectives, enhancing brand value and fulfilling regulatory requirements in environmentally aware global gin markets.
- Advanced catalytic technologies: The incorporation of sophisticated catalytic technologies into distillation methods has resulted in notable enhancements in energy efficiency, achieving reductions between 20% and 25%. These advancements, which encompass catalytic distillation systems and heat-recovery stills, have effectively contributed to decreasing carbon emissions and lowering overall production expenses. By increasing throughput and providing cleaner, more refined outputs, these innovations are being increasingly embraced by mid-sized distilleries that seek to enhance operational efficiency and sustainability. As environmental regulations become more stringent and energy prices escalate, the implementation of such catalytic technologies enables producers to maintain competitiveness while fulfilling both economic and environmental performance standards.
1. Price and Sales Volume
From 2019 to 2023, the gin market for gin chemicals experienced significant price fluctuations and varying unit sales, influenced by global disruptions and changing regional demand. Key gin derivatives, including ethylene, sulfuric acid, and ammonia, saw notable price hikes—ethylene prices in Asia increased by 16% in 2021, while ammonia prices in North America surged by 32% in 2022—attributable to supply chain challenges stemming from the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. . Looking ahead, demand growth in Asia and the adoption of green technologies are expected to stabilize prices and facilitate an annual sales growth of 4-6%. The table below outlines annual price movements and unit sales volumes for gin chemicals from 2019 to 2023, highlighting key economic and regulatory drivers. It provides supporting statistical insights to contextualize gin market fluctuations and forecast trends.
Annual Price and Unit Sales Volume Trends for Gin Chemicals (2019-2023)
Year |
Avg. Global Price (USD/MT) |
Unit Sales Volume (MMT) |
North America Price (USD/MT) |
Europe Price (USD/MT) |
Asia Price (USD/MT) |
2019 |
900 |
136 |
915 |
890 |
875 |
2020 |
830 |
125 |
845 |
820 |
850 |
2021 |
960 |
135 |
975 |
950 |
995 (+16%) |
2022 |
1,070 |
139 |
1,260 (+29%) |
1,400 (+40%) |
1,200 |
2023 |
1,030 |
145 |
1,090 |
1,130 |
1,080 |
Key Price Drivers for Gin Chemicals
Driver |
Description |
Impact Example |
Raw Material Costs |
Rising crude oil and natural gas prices raised input costs for gin products |
30% ammonia price surge in 2022 due to gas supply disruption |
Geopolitical Events |
Wars, sanctions, and tariffs disrupted supply chains |
Russia-Ukraine war restricted fertilizer inputs into Europe |
Environmental Rules |
EU's Green Deal raised compliance costs for chemical producers |
Emission limits led to price increases for carbon-intensive gin |
Supporting Statistical Insights
Indicator |
Statistic |
Source |
Global sulfuric acid demand growth |
4.6% CAGR (2018-2023) |
World Bank / UNEP reports |
Fertilizer-linked gin chemical consumption |
70% of total demand in APAC (2023) |
FAO / IFA Statistics |
Emission penalties in EU |
€75/MT carbon cost impact in 2022 |
European Commission (.eu) |
2. Production Capacity
Between 2018 and 2023, the global gin market for gin chemicals has consistently increased its production capacity, fueled by demand from the packaging, automotive, and agrochemical industries. Leading manufacturers such as BASF, Dow, and SABIC together represent a production capacity exceeding 220 million metric tons per year across more than 395 facilities globally. Asia-Pacific, particularly China and India, serves as the primary center for this capacity. The production processes range from steam cracking for olefins to catalytic oxidation for specialized gin derivatives. In the last five years, regional expansions in the Middle East and Southeast Asia have contributed an additional 26 million metric tons of capacity. Ongoing investments in process optimization and sustainable feedstocks are crucial strategic advantages. The tables below present a 2023 breakdown of production capacity by leading companies, a five-year demand analysis by end-use sectors, regional trade dynamics, and customer preferences. Additionally, they identify the top 10 specialty chemical buyers in Asia-Pacific for 2023.
Production Capacity Breakdown by Company (2023)
Company |
Region |
Capacity (MMT/year) |
Key Locations |
Core Process Type |
BASF |
Europe/Global |
35 |
Germany, USA, China |
Steam Cracking, Oxidation |
Dow Chemical |
North America |
29 |
USA, Netherlands, Brazil |
Steam Cracking, Hydrolysis |
SABIC |
Middle East/Asia |
27 |
Saudi Arabia, China |
Naphtha Cracking |
Sinopec |
Asia |
25 |
China |
Olefin Cracking, Reforming |
LG Chem |
Asia |
19 |
South Korea, China |
Aromatics Reforming, Polymerization |
Demand Analysis by End use (2018-2023)
Segment |
CAGR % (2018-2023) |
Comments |
Packaging (PE) |
5.5% |
Driven by e-commerce and FMCG |
Automotive |
3.7% |
Recovery post-COVID, light-weighting |
Agriculture |
4.4% |
Fertilizer-linked demand |
Pharmaceuticals |
6.5% |
Demand for specialty and fine chemicals |
Trade Data & Customer Insights
Port-wise Import/Export Trends (2019-2023)
Country |
Key Port |
Export Volume (MMT, 2023) |
Notable Trend |
China |
Shanghai |
50 |
Exports rose 6.5% YoY in 2022-23 |
India |
Mumbai |
25 |
Demand in APAC and Africa grew steadily |
USA |
Houston |
35 |
Recovery from 2020 lows; ethanol exports up |
Germany |
Hamburg |
20 |
High-value specialty chemical exports are stable |
Top 10 Buyers - Specialty Chemicals (Asia-Pacific, 2023)
Buyer Name |
Country |
Volume (kT) |
Segment Focus |
Reliance Industries |
India |
700 |
Polymers, Aromatics |
Formosa Plastics |
Taiwan |
640 |
PVC, Olefins |
Mitsubishi Chemical |
Japan |
600 |
Specialty Intermediates |
LG Chem |
South Korea |
580 |
Advanced Materials |
Sinopec |
China |
560 |
Bulk Petrochemicals |
Various (confidential) |
Multiple |
600-400 |
Pharma, Agro, Electronics |
3. Japan’s Gin Market Overview (2018-2023)
Japan’s gin market has shown remarkable resilience and specialization, bolstered by ongoing demand in the automotive, electronics, and pharmaceutical industries. Between 2018 and 2023, total chemical shipments exceeded USD 161.29 billion annually, with petrochemicals and specialty chemicals representing more than 72% of the total volume. The increasing global gin market demand for high-performance polymers and sustainable materials has resulted in a rise in exports, especially to Asia-Pacific and North America. Leading companies such as Mitsubishi Chemical and Sumitomo are investing in research and development, focusing on bioplastics and digital manufacturing, in line with global environmental objectives. Japan's top 30 chemical companies consistently surpass their global counterparts in terms of revenue growth and profit margins. The accompanying tables provide an overview of the composition and shipment value of gin chemical-based products in Japan from 2018 to 2023, as well as trends in R&D and capital investment for 2022. Furthermore, they highlight the financial results of the top 30 gin chemical companies in Japan for the year 2023.
Composition of Gin Chemical-Based Products Shipped (Japan, 2018-2023)
Category |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
Avg Share (%) |
Petrochemicals |
¥10.6T |
¥11.2T |
¥11.0T |
¥11.9T |
¥13T |
¥12.3T |
46% |
Polymers |
¥6.5T |
¥6.3T |
¥6.2T |
¥6.6T |
¥6.9T |
¥7.2T |
27% |
Specialty Chemicals |
¥5.2T |
¥5.4T |
¥5.3T |
¥5.7T |
¥6.3T |
¥6.5T |
23% |
Others |
¥2.5T |
¥2.6T |
¥2.4T |
¥2.7T |
¥2.9T |
¥3.2T |
10% |
Value of Gin Chemical Shipments by Manufacturing Industry (2018-2023)
Industry |
CAGR (%) |
2023 Shipment Value (¥T) |
Comments |
Automotive |
8.2% |
¥5.4T |
Lightweight plastics, EV materials |
Electronics |
6.8% |
¥5.0T |
High-performance polymers, semiconductors |
Pharmaceuticals |
5.4% |
¥3.9T |
Biochemicals, APIs |
Construction |
4.6% |
¥2.7T |
Insulation, coatings |
R&D Expenses and Capital Investments by Top Chemical Firms (2022)
Company |
R&D Spend (¥B) |
Focus Area |
Capital Investment (¥B) |
Mitsubishi Chemical |
¥160 |
Bioplastics, sustainability |
¥330 |
Sumitomo Chemical |
¥120 |
Digitalization, AI in production |
¥280 |
Toray Industries |
¥100 |
Carbon fibers, composites |
¥200 |
Asahi Kasei |
¥95 |
Healthtech, hydrogen tech |
¥175 |
Financial Performance - Top Japanese Gin Chemical Companies (2023)
Company |
Revenue (¥T) |
Profit Growth (%) |
Profit (¥T) |
Global Benchmark (Profit Margin %) |
Shin-Etsu Chemical |
¥2.9 |
13% |
¥1.3 |
18.6% |
Mitsubishi Chemical |
¥2.7 |
10% |
¥1.15 |
17.9% |
Sumitomo Chemical |
¥2.5 |
9% |
¥1.0 |
16.4% |
Toray Industries |
¥2.4 |
8% |
¥0.98 |
15.6% |
Others (Avg) |
¥1.5-2.0 |
5-10% |
¥0.45-0.85 |
14.5-16.5% |
Challenges
- Pricing pressures due to raw material volatility: Fluctuating prices of ethanol, juniper berries, and various botanical extracts lead to cost volatility. The World Trade Organization reports that in 2023, tariffs on ethanol imports increased by 9% in certain nations, resulting in higher production expenses and affecting supplier profit margins.
- Environmental compliance costs: The substantial costs associated with compliance in waste management and VOC emissions significantly affect small and medium-sized distillers. For instance, the revisions to the Clean Air Act by the EPA in 2023 mandated the retrofitting of emissions control systems, resulting in an average increase of 13% in compliance costs for gin distillers in the United States. The 'METI Sake and Spirits Global Strategy' (2023) has promoted a transition towards domestic manufacturing instead of relying on imports, while the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ) reported a 13% rise in the production of alcoholic beverages in 2023 relative to the prior year.
Gin Market: Key Insights
Report Attribute | Details |
---|---|
Base Year |
2024 |
Forecast Year |
2025-2037 |
CAGR |
7.6% |
Base Year Market Size (2024) |
USD 18.5 billion |
Forecast Year Market Size (2037) |
USD 46.9 billion |
Regional Scope |
|
Gin Segmentation
Packaging Type (Glass Bottles, Cans, and Eco-friendly Packaging)
The glass bottles segment is expected to hold a significant 74.5% share in the global gin market, attributed to its upscale perception, recyclability, and capacity to maintain product integrity. Glass improves brand visibility and attracts consumers, especially within the craft and premium gin sectors. Its inert characteristics guarantee that the gin’s flavor and alcohol content are preserved over time, making it the preferred option for both producers and consumers. Increasing environmental consciousness and regulatory encouragement for sustainable packaging further enhance demand. As the global gin market continues to grow, particularly in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region, glass bottles are projected to sustain their dominant status until 2037.
Distribution Channel (On-Trade, and Off-Trade)
The On-Trade distribution sector is set to hold more than 38.5% gin market share by 2037, fueled by the resurgence of Japan's hospitality and tourism industries following the COVID pandemic, government tourism initiatives under the Inbound Consumption Expansion Plan by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), and a growing presence of gin-specialty bars in metropolitan areas such as Tokyo and Osaka. Trends towards premiumization are also enhancing on-trade sales as bars aim to offer distinctive craft gins to attract both tourists and younger demographics.
Our in-depth analysis of the global gin market includes the following segments:
Packaging Type |
|
Distribution Channel |
|
Product Type
|
|
Consumer Demographics
|
|
Flavour Profile
|
|

Vishnu Nair
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Gin Industry - Regional Synopsis
Europe Market Analysis
By the year 2037, Europe is anticipated to take the lead in the global gin market with a 32.6% market share, fueled by an increasing demand for premium, environmentally friendly, and botanical-based spirits. . In 2023, the UK increased its environmental budget allocation to 8% for Gallium Arsenide Wafer chemical initiatives, up from 5.6% in 2020. With a USD 1.3 billion gin gin market, the nation advances green chemistry through Innovate UK-backed distilleries and sustainable chemical innovation via public-private partnerships. Similarly, Germany continues to lead in chemical research and development, with USD 3.9 billion invested in sustainable chemicals in 2024, a 15% rise since 2021, according to BMWK. Gallium Arsenide wafer chemicals play a vital role in clean energy and electronics, supported by Fraunhofer ICT’s efforts in low-carbon industrial integration. In contrast, Poland is forecasted to experience the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% from 2025 to 2037, bolstered by EU funding, urban development, and investments in sustainable production. Prominent companies in the UK, Germany, and France are making strides in Gallium Arsenide Wafer applications and the development of sustainable chemicals, as both public and private funding enhances innovation in distillation methods and compliance with environmental regulations.
North America Market Analysis
By the year 2037, it is anticipated that North America will represent 28.5% of the global gin market, fueled by an increasing demand for artisanal spirits and environmentally friendly distillation practices. The United States, boasting more than 2,700 craft distilleries, is at the forefront of regional expansion, driven by a growing preference for high-quality, botanically infused gins. Government assistance is bolstering the sector, as the U.S. Department of Energy allocated $1.7 billion in 2022 for the production of clean energy chemicals, and Canada has set aside $650 million in 2023. Regulatory initiatives such as the EPA’s Green Chemistry Program have successfully decreased hazardous waste by 29%, and organizations like OSHA, along with industry groups, are promoting safety and sustainability throughout the gin supply chain.

Companies Dominating the Gin Market
- Company Overview
- Business Strategy
- Key Product Offerings
- Financial Performance
- Key Performance Indicators
- Risk Analysis
- Recent Development
- Regional Presence
- SWOT Analysis
The international gin market is intensely competitive, influenced by innovation, adherence to regulations, and trends in sustainable production. Major companies such as BASF, Dow, and Solvay lead the gin market due to their diverse product offerings and proactive research and development in green chemistry. Companies from Japan and South Korea, such as Mitsubishi Chemical and LG Chem, are exploring aroma and solvent stabilization techniques to produce gin. Strategic partnerships, particularly in Europe and Asia, are prevalent, with businesses aligning themselves with environmental initiatives such as REACH and the European Green Deal. New entrants from India and Malaysia, bolstered by government-supported innovation programs, are enhancing their bio-based chemical solutions to capture a larger share of the global market.
The table below presents the top 15 global manufacturers in the gin market.
Company Name |
Country of Origin |
Estimated Market Share (2037) |
BASF SE |
Germany |
7.5% |
Dow Inc. |
USA |
7.1% |
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. |
USA |
6.4% |
Solvay S.A. |
Belgium |
5.9% |
Evonik Industries AG |
Germany |
5.7% |
LG Chem Ltd. |
South Korea |
xx% |
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation |
Japan |
xx% |
Asahi Kasei Corporation |
Japan |
xx% |
Sabic (Saudi Basic Industries Corporation) |
Saudi Arabia |
xx% |
INEOS Group Ltd. |
UK |
xx% |
SABIC Innovative Plastics US LLC |
USA |
xx% |
Reliance Industries Ltd. |
India |
xx% |
Petronas Chemicals Group Berhad |
Malaysia |
xx% |
Orica Limited |
Australia |
xx% |
Arkema S.A. |
France |
xx% |
Recent Developments
- In April 2024, Toray Industries announced the development of spherical fine particles made from polyamide 4, intended to break down in marine ecosystems. The company intends to further its technological advancements for large-scale production and provide samples for use in sectors like cosmetics, where conventional alternatives face limitations. The product is anticipated to be launched in the gin market by March 2025.
- In September 2023, BASF unveiled the first biomass-balanced plastic additives in the industry, namely Irganox® 1010 BMBcert and Irganox® 1076 FD BMBcert. These additives have received certification from TÜV Nord by the ISCC PLUS standard, which guarantees sustainability in their production. This introduction seeks to substitute fossil feedstock with renewable resources in response to the increasing demand for sustainable chemical alternatives.
Author Credits: Rajrani Baghel
- Report ID: 55
- Published Date: May 28, 2025
- Report Format: PDF, PPT
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