Aerospace Forging Market Analysis by Material (Aluminum Alloy, Stainless Steel, and Titanium); by Aircraft (Fixed Wing, and Rotary Wing); by Application (Fan Case, Rotors, Shafts, Turbine Disc, and Others); and by End-Use (Business, Commercial, and Military) – Global Supply and Demand Analysis and Opportunity Outlook 2023 – 2035
Buy Now Report ID: 4104 | Published Date: May 01, 2023
Aerospace Forging Market size is estimated to reach ~USD 50 billion by the end of 2035 by growing at a CAGR of ~8% over the forecast period, i.e., 2023 – 2035. In addition to this, in the year 2022, the market size of aerospace forging was ~USD 30 billion. The growth of this market can be attributed owing to the rising passenger traffic, big organizations such as Boeing and Airbus are expected to experience an increase in the production of aircraft manufacturing in the upcoming years. According to the International Air Transport Association, the number of people traveling by air is expected to grow by a factor of two over the following decades. By 2037, it is anticipated that 8.2 billion people will have used air transportation.
Moreover, constant investment in military equipment and demand for strong air transportation is anticipated to drive the industry growth. Also, U.S. operators are estimated to change the old models with better, lighter, and fuel-efficient models. For instance, according to estimates 9,130 new aircraft are likely to be delivered in North America by 2038. The aerospace and defense industries need a lot of forged components made from different alloys. Over the next few years, demand is expected to rise for items such as landing gears, turbines, engine parts, and machined parts. These parts are suitable for aerospace applications owing to their great strength.
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Base Year |
2022 |
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Forecast Year |
2023 – 2035 |
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CAGR |
~8% |
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Base Year Market Size (2022) |
~USD 30 billion |
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Forecast Year Market Size (2035) |
~USD 50 billion |
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Regional Scope |
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Growth Drivers
Challenges
The global aerospace forging market is segmented and analyzed for demand and supply by end users into business, commercial, and military. Out of these, the commercial segment is anticipated to account for the largest market share by the end of 2035. The growth of this market can be attributed owing the growing amount of investment in the production of commercial aircraft and the rising number of scheduled flights for passengers. In recent years, strong travel demand has increased the demand for new commercial aircraft. Rising passenger numbers in the Asia-Pacific region are expected to boost long-term demand for forged parts. For instance, more than 20,000 jetliners have been delivered globally in the last ten years, a 66% increase from the previous ten years. According to the latest data, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to deliver 10,040 new aircraft from 2028 to 2038. The emerging middle class in developing countries is expected to play a key role in increasing passenger numbers. According to the same data, the middle-class population in Asia-Pacific increased from 32% in 2008 to 50% in 2018.
The global market is segmented and analyzed for demand and supply by material into aluminum alloy, stainless steel, and titanium. Amongst these, the aluminum alloy segment is anticipated to hold the largest market share by the end of 2035. The use of aluminum in the aerospace industry is rapidly increasing owing to its lightweight properties. Modern planes are lighter, more modern, and more fuel efficient than older models. The development of advanced aluminum alloys in combination with other metals is another key factor likely to drive demand for aluminum forgings. Around 90% of aircraft bodies are made of aluminum, and forging with this material is essential in order to provide the metal capabilities of preventing fatigue by improving its ductility and strength.
Our in-depth analysis of the global aerospace forging market includes the following segments:
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By Material |
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By Aircraft |
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By Application |
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By End-Use |
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The market in the North American region is estimated to witness the highest growth over the forecast period. This can be attributed on the back of the presence of major manufacturers of aircraft and aerospace components in the region. Furthermore, the growth of the aerospace forging market in the North American region is directly interlinked with the growth of the aircraft manufacturing industry. For instance, in 2019, the aircraft manufacturing industry was valued at about USD 135 billion in the region. A rapid acceleration in aerospace forging and manufacturing in the region is also observed in recent decades, owing to the escalating number of people traveling via airlines. The growing number of air passengers is projected to result in a significant requirement for the highest number of aircraft. A report published by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) in 2021 stated that 674 million passengers are carried by US airlines annually which has increased by 82.5% from 2020 when about 369 million passengers were traveling via US airlines. Therefore, all these factors are anticipated to boost the growth of the market during the forecast period in the North American region.
The market in the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to share significant market growth in the forecast period owing to the presence of the biggest aviation market in the region. China is the world's fastest-growing aviation market. Over the next 20 years, the region is expected to deliver over 8,000 new aircraft. Strong demand is projected to provide future aftermarket service opportunities worth USD 1.6 trillion. China also ranks second in defense spending. In 2021, China will contribute about USD 293 billion to the defense industry, up 4.7% from 2020. Therefore, in the long term, China should attract large demand for aerospace forgings. China is a major exporter of forgings to the United States and Europe.
The market in Europe region also is expected to experience significant market growth in the forecast period. The European aerospace forgings market is driven by the increasing demand for lightweight, high-strength parts in the aerospace industry. This demand is especially important in the commercial aviation sector, where fuel efficiency and emission reduction are key priorities.
In 2023, market players might incur losses due to huge gap in currency translation followed by contracting revenues, shrinking profit margins & cost pressure on logistics and supply chain.
Controlling Inflation has become the first priority for global economies from last quarter of 2022 and to be followed in 2023. With skewed economic situations, rise in interest rate by governments to control spending and inflation, spiked oil and gas prices, high inflation, geo-political issues including U.S. & China trade war, Russia-Ukraine conflict to intensify the global economic issues.
The interest rates in the U.S. may be less sensitive in 2023 as compared to 2022; sigh of relief for businesses. Positive business sentiments, healthy business balance sheets, growth in construction spending (private construction value in 2022 stood at $1,429.2 billion, 11.7 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $1,279.5 billion spent in 2021, Residential construction in 2022 was $899.1 billion, up by 13.3 percent (±2.1 percent) from $793.7 billion in 2021, non-residential construction touched $530.1 billion, 9.1 percent (±1.0 percent) above the $485.8 billion in 2021.) showcases minimal impact of recession in the country.
Similarly, spiked spending in the European and major Asia economics including, India, China & Japan to showcase less impact on the global demand.
Author Credits: Ipsheeta Dash, Sadaf Naaz
Ans: Escalating passenger traffic, rising global commercial aircraft manufacturing, growing investment in military aviation, and increasing demand for air transportation are the major factors driving the growth of the aerospace forging market.
Ans: The market size of aerospace forging is anticipated to attain a CAGR of ~8% over the forecast period, i.e., 2023 – 2035.
Ans: The certain need for high initial investment is estimated to hamper the market growth.
Ans: North America is estimated to create notable growth opportunities for market growth over the forecast period.
Ans: The major players in the market are Arconic Corporation, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Precision Castparts Corp., Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries Co., Ltd, WLLEOOD Group Inc., CAV System Ltd, Curtiss-Wright Corporation, and Others.
Ans: The company profiles are selected based on the revenues generated from the product segment, the geographical presence of the company which determines the revenue generating capacity as well as the new products being launched into the market by the company.
Ans: The market is segmented by application, material, aircraft, end-use, and by region.
Ans: The commercial segment is anticipated to garner the largest market size by the end of 2035 and display significant growth opportunities.
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