Renewable Energy Certificate Market Outlook:
Renewable Energy Certificate Market size was USD 5.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 102.2 billion by the end of 2037, expanding at a CAGR of 24.7% during the forecast period, i.e., 2025-2037. In 2025, the industry size of renewable energy certificate is evaluated at USD 7.2 billion.
The steady inclination towards global decarbonization is a critical driver of the global renewable energy certificate market. As a part of the global response to climate change, more than 140 countries, including China, India, Japan, and the U.S., are committed to achieving total net-zero emissions by 2050. This is heavily backed by national legislation and international climate agreements. To meet the long-term decarbonization goals, governments and corporations are turning to market-based instruments such as RECs. These certificates provide a mechanism to verify the environmental attributes of renewable electricity generation. Corporations such as Google, Amazon, and Walmart have increasingly used unbundled RECs and PPAs to meet science-based climate targets and RE100 commitments. In 2023, Microsoft and Apple collectively purchased around 30 million RECs to meet their annual sustainability standards, such as the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Protocol, the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), and the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi).
Corporate Renewable Energy Procurement via RECs (2023)
Company |
RECs Purchased (MWh) |
Renewable Energy Covered |
|
18 million |
100% operations |
Microsoft |
14 million |
100% operations |
Amazon |
11 million |
90% operations |
Meta (Facebook) |
9 million |
100% operations |
Source: RE100 (2024)

Renewable Energy Certificate Market - Growth Drivers and Challenges
Growth Drivers
-
Rising deployment of renewable energy: The rapid expansion of solar, wind, hydro, and other clean energy technologies is a key factor fueling the growth of the renewable energy certificate market, as the growth of renewable energy capacity increases the supply of RECs. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IREA), in 2022, the global renewable energy capacity rose by around 25%, with wind installations rising by 8% and solar PV by 23%. This has resulted in the rapid expansion of REC issuance. India, for example, issued around 70 million RECs in 2022. In addition, the prices of renewable energy have drastically decreased over the years, enabling developers to scale projects. For instance, India’s 100 GW solar expansion by 2030 is likely to generate more RECs.
Global Renewable Energy Capacity (2023)
Energy Source |
Installed Capacity (GW) |
Share of Total Renewables (%) |
Solar PV |
1,419 |
33.3% |
Wind |
1,017 |
24.2% |
Hydropower |
1,400 |
32% |
- Technological advancements in REC trading: Rapid advancements in blockchain and IoT-based smart meters are significantly transforming the trading dynamics of RECs by offering better market accessibility, enhancing transparency, and reducing overall costs. These advanced technologies are capable of addressing inefficiencies such as manual verification and fraud risks in traditional REC systems. For instance, in 2023, the Powerledger platform facilitated more than 5,00,000 REC transactions worldwide, significantly cutting the administrative costs by 15%.
Renewable Energy Certificate Market: Historical Analysis & Price Trends
The renewable energy certificate market has significantly grown in recent years due to corporate sustainability mandates and government policies. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) 2023, the unit sales of REC surged from 122 million MWh in 2018 to 283 million MWh in 2023. Prices fluctuated due to policy shifts, renewable energy adoption, and grid integration costs. For example, Europe’s prices dropped 8% in 2022 due to oversupply, while APAC saw a 15% price spike in 2023 due to coal-to-renewable transitions.
REC Price History (2019–2023, USD/MWh)
Year |
North America |
Europe |
Asia |
Global Unit Sales (Million MWh) |
2019 |
2.52 |
3.1 |
1.82 |
150 |
2020 |
2.75 (+10%) |
2.9 (-6%) |
2.2 (+11%) |
180 |
2021 |
3.4 (+22%) |
2.8 (-3%) |
2.4 (+15%) |
210 |
2022 |
3.15 (-7%) |
2.6 (-8%) |
2.6 (+9%) |
250 |
2023 |
3.5 (+10%) |
2.7 (+6%) |
2.9 (+16%) |
280 |
Key Price Influencers (2019–2023)
Factor |
Impact |
Government Policies |
U.S. prices +22% (2021) after Clean Energy Plan |
Renewable Energy Demand |
Corporate PPAs raised prices +15% (Asia, 2023) |
Grid Integration Costs |
Europe’s prices -8% (2022) from oversupply |
Challenges
-
Price fluctuations: One of the key challenges in the renewable energy certificate market is pricing volatility, influenced by instability of the carbon credit market and government subsidy changes. This affects overall investment decisions and manufacturer profitability. According to the World Trade Organization (WTO), global REC prices dropped by almost 12% in 2023 after subsidy adjustments in the U.S and EU, hampering margins for suppliers.
-
Low awareness and voluntary participation in many parts of the world: REC purchases are not mandatory in many regions, or some have weak renewable purchase obligations (RPO). In addition to this, several small-scale renewable producers are unaware of REC opportunities. This can affect the overall renewable energy certificate market growth.
Renewable Energy Certificate Market Size and Forecast:
Report Attribute | Details |
---|---|
Base Year |
2024 |
Forecast Year |
2025-2037 |
CAGR |
24.7% |
Base Year Market Size (2024) |
USD 5.8 billion |
Forecast Year Market Size (2037) |
USD 102.2 billion |
Regional Scope |
|
Renewable Energy Certificate Market Segmentation:
Energy Type Segment Analysis
The solar energy segment is expected to account for the largest revenue share of 42.3% during the forecast period, owing to rapidly decreasing photovoltaic (PV) costs, rising solar infrastructure projects worldwide, and the availability of supportive government policies and subsidies. According to the U.S. Department of Energy’s Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) report, the overall solar capacity has increased by 31% in recent years due to robust investments in solar farms as well as distributed generation. Along with this, the solar energy certification is increasing as many countries in Europe and Asia are pushing for solar energy adoption to meet their renewable energy targets. The table below highlights the solar capacity and number of solar RECs issued from 2019 to 2024:
Solar Energy Deployment and RECs (2019- 2024)
Year |
Global Solar Capacity (GW) |
Solar RECs Issued (Million MWh) |
Key Region |
REC Price (USD/MWh) |
2019 |
629 |
40 |
China |
1 (China) |
2020 |
712 |
45 |
China |
0.90 (China) |
2021 |
843 |
49 |
EU |
0.85 (China) |
2022 |
1,055 |
61 |
India |
0.80 (China) |
2023 |
1,302 |
83 |
China |
0.80 (China) |
2024 |
1,600 |
102 |
EU |
5 (EU est.) |
Capacity Segment Analysis
The more than 5000 kWh segment is likely to hold a revenue share of 52.1% between 2025 and 2037 due to favorable government mandates for utilities and corporations for sourcing renewable energy through RECs. For instance, the U.S Department of Energy (DOE) reported that more than 80% of quality projects in 2023 were more than 5000 kWh. In addition, major companies are committing to 100% renewable energy through initiatives including RE 100. In 2024, Amazon and Google collectively purchased RECs with 15 TWh, largely through utility-scale wind and solar projects.
Our in-depth analysis of the renewable energy certificate market includes the following segments:
Segment |
Subsegments |
Energy Type |
|
Capacity |
|
Application |
|
End use |
|

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Renewable Energy Certificate Market - Regional Analysis
North America Market Insights
North America renewable energy certificate market is expected to account for the largest revenue share of 32.2% during the forecast period. This growth can be attributed to supportive regulatory frameworks, high preference for sustainable energy solutions across residential and non-residential sectors, and the presence of leading key players. Many companies in the U.S and Canada are aiming for net-zero targets and 100% renewable solutions, resulting in high sales of RECs. In addition, the declining prices of renewable sources and growing public concerns about fossil fuels and climate change is expected to fuel the market growth in the coming years.
In the U.S. renewable energy certificate market, over 30 states and territories have mandated renewable portfolio standards (RPS) policies requiring utilities to source a specific share of energy from renewable resources. New York, California, and Massachusetts are among the contributors of clean energy targets. Moreover, corporate giants such as Microsoft, Google, and Apple are adopting RECs to attain Scope 2 emission reduction under the GHG protocol. Apart from these companies, data centers, industrial facilities, and tech parks are focused on purchasing RECs, where direct renewable power procurement is not accessible.
Canada’s national goal to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 is a key factor supporting the growth of the REC market in the country. In addition, the presence of abundant hydropower, wind, and solar infrastructure results in a voluntary REC market, including export to the U.S. Canadian RECs from Ontario or Québec are exported to U.S voluntary markets, tracked by systems such as NEPOOL GIS, or WREGIS. The trading pricing ranges between CAD 1 - $6 per MWh.
APAC Market Insights
The APAC renewable energy certificate market is likely to register the fastest CAGR of 9.8% throughout the stipulated timeframe due to stringent environmental norms and favorable government initiatives to meet the carbon reduction targets. Countries such as India, Japan, China, South Korea, and Australia have set ambitious renewable energy goals. For instance, Renewable Purchase Obligations (RPO), India mandates power utilities to buy a specific share of electricity from renewables through RECs. Moreover, increasing participation of corporate giants like Infosys, Tata Motors, and Wipro in RE100 and rising renewable energy generation activities and projects in solar, wind, and hydro across the region.
The renewable energy certificate market in China is expected to reach around USD 8.2 billion by the end of 2037, owing to the rapid expansion of renewable energy in the country and growing popularity of the Green Certificate Trading Scheme. China aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, resulting in increasing demand for RECs. Moreover, large Chinese giants and foreign-invested enterprises are using green electricity certificates (GECs) to meet their ESG goals, along with supply chain sustainability.
In India, the market is likely to expand at a rapid rate between 2025 and 2037 due to strong government-backed incentives and robust solar expansion. In 2023, the country’s non-fossil energy share reached 44%. This has resulted in high demand for RECs. In addition to this, many corporate companies, data centers, and manufacturing units are inclining towards REC purchases to meet the sustainability, green building, and ESC targets.
Country-Specific Insights (2024 Data)
Country |
REC Spending (2024, $B) |
Firms Using RECs (2024) |
Japan |
1.2 |
2.8 |
China |
3.4 |
15,003 |
India |
2 |
520 |
Malaysia |
0.8 |
200 |
South Korea |
1.5 |
600 |
Australia |
0.7 |
150 |
Indonesia |
0.5 |
100 |

Key Renewable Energy Certificate Market Players:
- Company Overview
- Business Strategy
- Key Product Offerings
- Financial Performance
- Key Performance Indicators
- Risk Analysis
- Recent Development
- Regional Presence
- SWOT Analysis
The global renewable energy certificate market is highly competitive, with several multinational giants leveraging advanced R&D in sustainability and renewable energy. These key players are focused on developing innovative battery electrolytes, green hydrogen catalysts, and photovoltaic materials to cater to the rising renewable energy demand. Here is a list of key players operating in the global renewable energy certificate market:
Company Name |
Country |
Approximate Market Share |
BASF SE |
Germany |
11.8% |
Dow Inc. |
USA |
9.2% |
Wacker Chemie AG |
Germany |
7.2% |
3M Company |
USA |
7% |
Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation |
Japan |
4.2% |
LG Chem Ltd. |
South Korea |
xx% |
Covestro AG |
Germany |
xx% |
Reliance Industries Limited |
India |
xx% |
Linde plc |
USA / Germany |
xx% |
Sime Darby Plantation |
Malaysia |
xx% |
SolarEdge Technologies |
Israel |
xx% |
Nippon Chemical Industrial Co. |
Japan |
xx% |
Orica Limited |
Australia |
xx% |
SK Innovation |
South Korea |
xx% |
Suzano S.A. |
Brazil |
xx% |
Below are the areas covered for each company in the global market:
Recent Developments
- In June 2024, TÜV Austria announced the Renewable Carbon Share (RCS) certification in collaboration with the Renewable Carbon Initiative (RCI) at the Renewable Materials Conference 2024. This meta-label certifies the renewable carbon content in products, enhancing transparency in the use of bio-based and recycled materials.
- In January 2023, Bureau Veritas launched a certificate scheme for renewable hydrogen in India, which ensures that hydrogen is produced under safe and sustainable practices from renewable energy sources.
- Report ID: 7498
- Published Date: Jun 20, 2025
- Report Format: PDF, PPT
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